Severe Weather Charts

Operational Model Forecasts

GEM REGIONAL DETERMINISTIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (RDPS)

Specialized model output is often used to help with the forecasting of severe weather. Since the factors most likely to indicate severe weather vary with the seasons, the charts are divided in broad categories of "Summer" and "Winter".

Summer
  Wind1 Stability and Moisture2 Energy, wind shear and helicity3
Hr 00z 06z 12z 18z 00z 06z 12z 18z 00z 06z 12z 18z
00 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)
03                     323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)
06     323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)     323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)        
09                 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)
12 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)        
15                 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)
18 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)        
21                 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)    
24 323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)     323 (1:2) 323 (1:2)            

xxx = kbytes full size image
(1:2) = image scaled by 1/2

  1. Wind, Tropopause and 250 hPa heights 
  2. Stability indices, Dewpoints, Water Content 
  3. Buoyant energy, Helicity, Storm Severity Index

00z Production Run (Normally updated between 5:00 and 6:00 UTC), 12z Production Run (Normally updated between 17:00 and 18:00 UTC)

Winter
  Pressure, thicknesses, precipitation types 250 hPa, wind, moisture *
Hr 00z 06z 12z 18z 00z 06z 12z 18z
12 265 (1:2) 265 (1:2) 272 (1:2) 272 (1:2) 276 (1:2) 276 (1:2) 276 (1:2) 276 (1:2)
18 261 (1:2) 261 (1:2) 269 (1:2) 269 (1:2) 274 (1:2) 274 (1:2) 274 (1:2) 274 (1:2)
24 260 (1:2) 260 (1:2) 262 (1:2) 262 (1:2) 270 (1:2) 270 (1:2) 270 (1:2) 270 (1:2)
30 260 (1:2) 260 (1:2) 259 (1:2) 259 (1:2) 269 (1:2) 269 (1:2) 269 (1:2) 269 (1:2)
36 261 (1:2) 261 (1:2) 258 (1:2) 258 (1:2)        
42 260 (1:2) 260 (1:2) 258 (1:2) 258 (1:2)        
48 258 (1:2) 258 (1:2) 256 (1:2) 256 (1:2)        

xxx = kbytes of full size image
(1:2) = image scaled by 1/2
* chart is updated daily October to April only

About These Products