Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of precipitation for October-November-December 2016 issued on July 1st 2016
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Normal 59 20-29 30-39 30-39
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Normal 45 30-39 20-29 40-49
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above 47 40-49 30-39 20-29
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 30-39 30-39 20-29
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Above low 40-49 10-19 30-39
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Above 45 50-59 30-39 10-19
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 30-39 10-19 40-49
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal 45 30-39 30-39 20-29
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above 49 40-49 30-39 20-29
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above 47 40-49 30-39 20-29
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above 46 40-49 30-39 20-29
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Above low 40-49 10-19 30-39
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above 45 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above 45 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 30-39 10-19 40-49
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above 48 40-49 30-39 20-29
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal 45 40-49 20-29 30-39
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal 45 30-39 30-39 20-29
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above 49 40-49 30-39 20-29
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above low 50-59 10-19 30-39
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above 46 40-49 30-39 20-29
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Above low 40-49 40-49 0-9
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 30-39 30-39 20-29
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above 45 40-49 30-39 20-29
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above 45 40-49 30-39 20-29
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above 48 40-49 30-39 20-29
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal 45 40-49 20-29 30-39
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29