Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of temperature for September-October-November 2016 issued on September 1st 2016
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Above 46 60-69 20-29 0-9
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Above 59 60-69 20-29 10-19
TIMMINS, ON. 48.57 -81.38 Above 52 60-69 10-19 20-29
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Normal 57 60-69 10-19 20-29
TRENTON, ON. 44.12 -77.53 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Above 54 80-89 10-19 0-9
WIARTON, ON. 44.75 -81.10 Above 49 60-69 20-29 0-9
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
WINDSOR, ON. 42.27 -82.97 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Above 62 60-69 10-19 20-29
CHARLOTTETOWN, PE. 46.28 -63.13 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
BAGOTVILLE, QC. 48.33 -71.00 Above 45 60-69 20-29 10-19
BAIE COMEAU, QC. 49.13 -68.20 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
CHIBOUGAMAU, QC. 49.77 -74.53 Above 49 60-69 10-19 10-19
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
KUUJJUAQ, QC. 58.12 -68.42 Normal 55 40-49 20-29 30-39
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
KUUJJUARAPIK, QC. 55.28 -77.77 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
MONTREAL MIRABEL, QC. 45.67 -74.03 Above 46 60-69 20-29 0-9
MONT JOLI, QC. 48.60 -68.22 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
MONTREAL DORVAL, QC. 45.47 -73.75 Above 50 60-69 20-29 0-9
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
NATASHQUAN, QC. 50.18 -61.80 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Normal low 50-59 20-29 10-19
QUEBEC, QC. 46.80 -71.38 Above 47 60-69 20-29 0-9
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Above 49 70-79 10-19 10-19
ROBERVAL, QC. 48.52 -72.27 Above 46 60-69 20-29 10-19
ST HUBERT, QC. 45.52 -73.42 Above 49 60-69 20-29 0-9
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Above 46 70-79 10-19 10-19
SCHEFFERVILLE, QC. 54.80 -66.80 Normal 53 50-59 10-19 20-29
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
SEPT-ILES, QC. 50.22 -66.20 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Above 46 40-49 30-39 10-19
SHERBROOKE, QC. 45.43 -71.68 Above 45 70-79 20-29 0-9
VAL D OR, QC. 48.05 -77.78 Above 59 60-69 10-19 10-19
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
BROADVIEW, SK. 50.38 -102.68 Above 47 50-59 20-29 10-19
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
ESTEVAN, SK. 49.22 -102.97 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
LA RONGE, SK. 55.15 -105.27 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Above 50 60-69 20-29 10-19
MOOSE JAW, SK. 50.33 -105.57 Above 47 50-59 20-29 10-19
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
NORTH BATTLEFORD, SK. 52.77 -108.25 Normal 46 50-59 20-29 10-19
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Above 46 70-79 10-19 10-19
PRINCE ALBERT, SK. 53.22 -105.67 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
REGINA, SK. 50.43 -104.67 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above 60 40-49 20-29 20-29
SASKATOON, SK. 52.17 -106.72 Normal low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
URANIUM CITY, SK. 59.57 -108.48 Normal low 50-59 30-39 10-19
YORKTON, SK. 51.27 -102.47 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
SHINGLE POINT, YT. 68.93 -137.23 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Normal 49 40-49 50-59 0-9
TESLIN, YT. 60.17 -132.75 Above low 70-79 0-9 10-19
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above low 40-49 40-49 0-9
WATSON LAKE, YT. 60.12 -128.82 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
WHITEHORSE, YT. 60.72 -135.07 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal 55 20-29 40-49 30-39
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above 47 70-79 10-19 10-19
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 80-89 0-9 10-19
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal low 50-59 30-39 10-19
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Above 49 70-79 10-19 10-19
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Normal low 50-59 10-19 20-29
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Above low 60-69 0-9 20-29
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Above 64 60-69 10-19 10-19
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Above low 70-79 0-9 10-19
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Above 62 70-79 20-29 0-9
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Above 55 60-69 10-19 20-29
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Above 48 60-69 20-29 0-9
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Above 63 60-69 20-29 10-19
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9