Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of temperature for December 2017-January 2018-February 2018 issued on March 1st 2017
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Above 45 50-59 20-29 10-19
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Normal low 30-39 10-19 40-49
TIMMINS, ON. 48.57 -81.38 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
TORONTO, ON. 43.67 -79.60 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
TRENTON, ON. 44.12 -77.53 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
WIARTON, ON. 44.75 -81.10 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
WINDSOR, ON. 42.27 -82.97 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CHARLOTTETOWN, PE. 46.28 -63.13 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
BAGOTVILLE, QC. 48.33 -71.00 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
BAIE COMEAU, QC. 49.13 -68.20 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CHIBOUGAMAU, QC. 49.77 -74.53 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
KUUJJUAQ, QC. 58.12 -68.42 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
KUUJJUARAPIK, QC. 55.28 -77.77 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
MONTREAL MIRABEL, QC. 45.67 -74.03 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
MONT JOLI, QC. 48.60 -68.22 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
MONTREAL DORVAL, QC. 45.47 -73.75 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
NATASHQUAN, QC. 50.18 -61.80 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
QUEBEC, QC. 46.80 -71.38 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
ROBERVAL, QC. 48.52 -72.27 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
ST HUBERT, QC. 45.52 -73.42 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
SCHEFFERVILLE, QC. 54.80 -66.80 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
SEPT-ILES, QC. 50.22 -66.20 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
SHERBROOKE, QC. 45.43 -71.68 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Above 47 50-59 30-39 10-19
VAL D OR, QC. 48.05 -77.78 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above 53 50-59 30-39 10-19
BROADVIEW, SK. 50.38 -102.68 Above 45 60-69 20-29 10-19
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
ESTEVAN, SK. 49.22 -102.97 Above 46 50-59 20-29 10-19
LA RONGE, SK. 55.15 -105.27 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
MOOSE JAW, SK. 50.33 -105.57 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Above 49 50-59 20-29 10-19
NORTH BATTLEFORD, SK. 52.77 -108.25 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Above 48 40-49 40-49 10-19
PRINCE ALBERT, SK. 53.22 -105.67 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Above 54 50-59 30-39 10-19
REGINA, SK. 50.43 -104.67 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Above 45 60-69 20-29 10-19
SASKATOON, SK. 52.17 -106.72 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
URANIUM CITY, SK. 59.57 -108.48 Above 45 60-69 20-29 10-19
YORKTON, SK. 51.27 -102.47 Above 45 60-69 20-29 10-19
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
SHINGLE POINT, YT. 68.93 -137.23 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
TESLIN, YT. 60.17 -132.75 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
WATSON LAKE, YT. 60.12 -128.82 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
WHITEHORSE, YT. 60.72 -135.07 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above 48 50-59 40-49 0-9
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above 46 60-69 20-29 10-19
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above 59 60-69 20-29 10-19
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above 55 50-59 20-29 10-19
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above 47 50-59 30-39 0-9
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Above low 70-79 20-29 10-19
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Above 45 50-59 20-29 20-29
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Above 49 50-59 20-29 10-19
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Above 45 50-59 20-29 10-19