Seasonal Forecast

Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

Seasonal forecasts of temperature for November-December 2015-January 2016 issued on February 1st 2015
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Normal low 20-29 50-59 20-29
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Normal low 20-29 50-59 10-19
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Normal low 20-29 50-59 20-29
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Normal low 20-29 50-59 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Above low 40-49 40-49 0-9
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Normal low 20-29 60-69 10-19
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Above low 40-49 40-49 0-9
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Above low 40-49 50-59 0-9
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 30-39 40-49 10-19
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Above low 40-49 50-59 0-9
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 30-39 40-49 10-19
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Normal low 50-59 30-39 10-19
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Normal low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9