Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of temperature for February-March-April 2018 issued on May 1st 2017
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Normal low 50-59 10-19 20-29
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Normal 55 50-59 20-29 20-29
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Below 52 20-29 30-39 40-49
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Normal low 50-59 10-19 20-29
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Below low 20-29 20-29 40-49
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Normal 55 50-59 20-29 20-29
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Below 52 20-29 30-39 40-49
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above 46 50-59 20-29 20-29
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Below low 20-29 20-29 40-49
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Above 47 50-59 30-39 0-9
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Above 48 50-59 30-39 0-9
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above 46 50-59 20-29 20-29
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above 62 50-59 30-39 0-9
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Above 47 50-59 30-39 0-9
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Above 48 50-59 30-39 0-9
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above 62 50-59 30-39 0-9
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Above 49 50-59 30-39 10-19
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Above 47 50-59 30-39 0-9
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Normal 45 40-49 30-39 20-29
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Above 49 50-59 30-39 10-19
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Above 47 50-59 30-39 0-9
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Normal 45 40-49 30-39 20-29
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 30-39 40-49 10-19
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Above 48 50-59 30-39 10-19
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 30-39 40-49 10-19
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Above 53 50-59 30-39 10-19
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Above 48 50-59 30-39 10-19
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Above 58 50-59 20-29 10-19
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Above 53 50-59 30-39 10-19
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above 56 50-59 40-49 0-9
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 50-59 20-29 10-19
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above 49 50-59 30-39 0-9
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Above 58 50-59 20-29 10-19
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above 54 40-49 30-39 10-19
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above 56 50-59 40-49 0-9
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above 66 50-59 40-49 0-9
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above 49 50-59 30-39 0-9
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above 49 50-59 30-39 0-9
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above 50 50-59 30-39 0-9
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above 59 50-59 40-49 0-9
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above 54 40-49 30-39 10-19
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above 60 40-49 40-49 0-9
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above 66 50-59 40-49 0-9
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above 62 40-49 40-49 0-9
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above 49 50-59 30-39 0-9
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above 46 50-59 40-49 0-9
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above 50 50-59 30-39 0-9
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above 59 50-59 40-49 0-9
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above 60 40-49 40-49 0-9
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above 54 50-59 30-39 0-9
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above 62 40-49 40-49 0-9
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Above low 40-49 40-49 0-9
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above 46 50-59 40-49 0-9
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above 47 60-69 30-39 0-9
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above 54 50-59 30-39 0-9
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Above 49 60-69 20-29 0-9
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Above low 40-49 40-49 0-9
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9