Seasonal Forecast

Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

Seasonal forecasts of temperature for August-September-October 2015 issued on november 1st 2014
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Above 53 60-69 30-39 0-9
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Above 54 70-79 10-19 0-9
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Above 55 70-79 20-29 0-9
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Above 54 60-69 20-29 0-9
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above 57 60-69 30-39 0-9
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above 52 60-69 20-29 0-9
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Above 51 60-69 30-39 0-9
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 50-59 30-39 10-19
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above 57 60-69 30-39 0-9
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Above 51 60-69 30-39 0-9
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above 51 60-69 10-19 10-19
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above 47 60-69 20-29 10-19
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 50-59 30-39 10-19
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above 51 60-69 10-19 10-19
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above 50 60-69 10-19 20-29
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above 47 60-69 20-29 10-19
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Above 50 60-69 20-29 10-19
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above 50 60-69 10-19 20-29
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Above 50 60-69 20-29 10-19
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Above 45 60-69 20-29 10-19
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Above 45 60-69 20-29 10-19
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Above 51 60-69 20-29 10-19
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Above 51 60-69 20-29 10-19
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19