Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of temperature for September-October-November 2017 issued on December 1st 2016
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Above 54 50-59 30-39 10-19
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above low 40-49 10-19 30-39
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Above 45 40-49 20-29 30-39
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above low 50-59 10-19 30-39
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above 52 40-49 20-29 20-29
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above low 50-59 10-19 30-39
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above 45 50-59 10-19 30-39
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above 49 40-49 20-29 30-39
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above 48 40-49 20-29 20-29
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above low 40-49 10-19 30-39
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Normal 51 40-49 30-39 20-29
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Above 53 50-59 20-29 10-19
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Above 50 40-49 20-29 20-29
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Above 56 40-49 30-39 20-29
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Above 47 50-59 20-29 10-19
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above 46 40-49 30-39 20-29
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above 49 50-59 30-39 10-19
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Normal low 40-49 40-49 0-9
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Above 52 40-49 30-39 10-19
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Above low 30-39 50-59 0-9
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Above 45 40-49 40-49 10-19
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Above 46 40-49 40-49 10-19
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Above 56 50-59 40-49 0-9
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Above 49 60-69 20-29 10-19
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Above 49 40-49 40-49 10-19
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Above 59 60-69 20-29 0-9
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Above 52 70-79 20-29 0-9
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Above 60 50-59 30-39 10-19
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Above 50 60-69 20-29 10-19
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above low 40-49 10-19 30-39
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Above 48 50-59 30-39 10-19
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Above 45 40-49 20-29 30-39
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Above 49 60-69 20-29 10-19
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above low 50-59 10-19 30-39
TIMMINS, ON. 48.57 -81.38 Above 59 60-69 20-29 10-19
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above 52 40-49 20-29 20-29
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above low 50-59 10-19 30-39
TORONTO, ON. 43.67 -79.60 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above 45 50-59 10-19 30-39
TRENTON, ON. 44.12 -77.53 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above 49 40-49 20-29 30-39
WIARTON, ON. 44.75 -81.10 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above 48 40-49 20-29 20-29
WINDSOR, ON. 42.27 -82.97 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CHARLOTTETOWN, PE. 46.28 -63.13 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
BAGOTVILLE, QC. 48.33 -71.00 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
BAIE COMEAU, QC. 49.13 -68.20 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above low 40-49 10-19 30-39
CHIBOUGAMAU, QC. 49.77 -74.53 Above 50 50-59 30-39 0-9
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
KUUJJUAQ, QC. 58.12 -68.42 Above 57 50-59 30-39 10-19
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
KUUJJUARAPIK, QC. 55.28 -77.77 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
MONTREAL MIRABEL, QC. 45.67 -74.03 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
MONT JOLI, QC. 48.60 -68.22 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
MONTREAL DORVAL, QC. 45.47 -73.75 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
NATASHQUAN, QC. 50.18 -61.80 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9