Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of temperature for October-November-December 2017 issued on January 1st 2017
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
TIMMINS, ON. 48.57 -81.38 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
TORONTO, ON. 43.67 -79.60 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
TRENTON, ON. 44.12 -77.53 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
WIARTON, ON. 44.75 -81.10 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
WINDSOR, ON. 42.27 -82.97 Above 46 50-59 20-29 10-19
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CHARLOTTETOWN, PE. 46.28 -63.13 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
BAGOTVILLE, QC. 48.33 -71.00 Above low 50-59 10-19 30-39
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
BAIE COMEAU, QC. 49.13 -68.20 Above low 60-69 0-9 30-39
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
CHIBOUGAMAU, QC. 49.77 -74.53 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
KUUJJUAQ, QC. 58.12 -68.42 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
KUUJJUARAPIK, QC. 55.28 -77.77 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
MONTREAL MIRABEL, QC. 45.67 -74.03 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
MONT JOLI, QC. 48.60 -68.22 Above low 60-69 0-9 30-39
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
MONTREAL DORVAL, QC. 45.47 -73.75 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
NATASHQUAN, QC. 50.18 -61.80 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
QUEBEC, QC. 46.80 -71.38 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
ROBERVAL, QC. 48.52 -72.27 Above low 60-69 0-9 30-39
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
ST HUBERT, QC. 45.52 -73.42 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
SCHEFFERVILLE, QC. 54.80 -66.80 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SEPT-ILES, QC. 50.22 -66.20 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
SHERBROOKE, QC. 45.43 -71.68 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
VAL D OR, QC. 48.05 -77.78 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
BROADVIEW, SK. 50.38 -102.68 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
ESTEVAN, SK. 49.22 -102.97 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
LA RONGE, SK. 55.15 -105.27 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
MOOSE JAW, SK. 50.33 -105.57 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
NORTH BATTLEFORD, SK. 52.77 -108.25 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
PRINCE ALBERT, SK. 53.22 -105.67 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
REGINA, SK. 50.43 -104.67 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SASKATOON, SK. 52.17 -106.72 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 40-49 40-49 0-9
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
URANIUM CITY, SK. 59.57 -108.48 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
YORKTON, SK. 51.27 -102.47 Above 46 60-69 10-19 20-29
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SHINGLE POINT, YT. 68.93 -137.23 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
TESLIN, YT. 60.17 -132.75 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
WATSON LAKE, YT. 60.12 -128.82 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
WHITEHORSE, YT. 60.72 -135.07 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Above 49 50-59 30-39 10-19
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Above 48 60-69 10-19 20-29
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above 46 60-69 10-19 20-29
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Above 45 50-59 10-19 20-29
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Above 47 50-59 20-29 20-29
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Above 46 50-59 20-29 10-19
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Above 48 60-69 10-19 10-19
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19