Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of temperature for October-November-December 2016 issued on September 1st 2016
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
TIMMINS, ON. 48.57 -81.38 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
TORONTO, ON. 43.67 -79.60 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
TRENTON, ON. 44.12 -77.53 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
WIARTON, ON. 44.75 -81.10 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
WINDSOR, ON. 42.27 -82.97 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
CHARLOTTETOWN, PE. 46.28 -63.13 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
BAGOTVILLE, QC. 48.33 -71.00 Above 45 50-59 20-29 10-19
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
BAIE COMEAU, QC. 49.13 -68.20 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Above low 70-79 0-9 10-19
CHIBOUGAMAU, QC. 49.77 -74.53 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Above low 70-79 0-9 10-19
KUUJJUAQ, QC. 58.12 -68.42 Normal 52 40-49 30-39 20-29
KUUJJUARAPIK, QC. 55.28 -77.77 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Above low 70-79 0-9 10-19
MONTREAL MIRABEL, QC. 45.67 -74.03 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Above low 70-79 0-9 10-19
MONT JOLI, QC. 48.60 -68.22 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
MONTREAL DORVAL, QC. 45.47 -73.75 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
NATASHQUAN, QC. 50.18 -61.80 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
QUEBEC, QC. 46.80 -71.38 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
ROBERVAL, QC. 48.52 -72.27 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Above low 70-79 0-9 10-19
ST HUBERT, QC. 45.52 -73.42 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Above low 70-79 0-9 10-19
SCHEFFERVILLE, QC. 54.80 -66.80 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
SEPT-ILES, QC. 50.22 -66.20 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Above low 70-79 0-9 10-19
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
VAL D OR, QC. 48.05 -77.78 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
BROADVIEW, SK. 50.38 -102.68 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
ESTEVAN, SK. 49.22 -102.97 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
LA RONGE, SK. 55.15 -105.27 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above 50 50-59 30-39 0-9
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
MOOSE JAW, SK. 50.33 -105.57 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
NORTH BATTLEFORD, SK. 52.77 -108.25 Above low 70-79 0-9 10-19
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 40-49 40-49 0-9
PRINCE ALBERT, SK. 53.22 -105.67 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
REGINA, SK. 50.43 -104.67 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
SASKATOON, SK. 52.17 -106.72 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
URANIUM CITY, SK. 59.57 -108.48 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
YORKTON, SK. 51.27 -102.47 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
SHINGLE POINT, YT. 68.93 -137.23 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
TESLIN, YT. 60.17 -132.75 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Above 50 80-89 10-19 0-9
WATSON LAKE, YT. 60.12 -128.82 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above low 80-89 0-9 10-19
WHITEHORSE, YT. 60.72 -135.07 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Above low 70-79 20-29 0-9
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Above 56 70-79 10-19 10-19
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Above low 80-89 0-9 0-9
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Above low 90-100 0-9 0-9
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Above 56 60-69 10-19 10-19
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Above 46 60-69 10-19 10-19
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Above 50 60-69 10-19 10-19
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Above 45 60-69 10-19 10-19
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Above low 60-69 30-39 0-9