Seasonal Forecast

Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

Seasonal forecasts of precipitation for October-November-December 2015 issued on January 1st 2015
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Normal 46 40-49 20-29 20-29
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Normal 46 30-39 20-29 30-39
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Above low 30-39 20-29 30-39
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Below low 10-19 30-39 40-49
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Normal 52 30-39 20-29 30-39
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Normal low 10-19 40-49 40-49
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
TORONTO, ON. 43.67 -79.60 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
TRENTON, ON. 44.12 -77.53 Normal 46 30-39 30-39 20-29
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
WIARTON, ON. 44.75 -81.10 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above low 30-39 20-29 30-39
WINDSOR, ON. 42.27 -82.97 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
CHARLOTTETOWN, PE. 46.28 -63.13 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
BAGOTVILLE, QC. 48.33 -71.00 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Below low 20-29 20-29 40-49
BAIE COMEAU, QC. 49.13 -68.20 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
CHIBOUGAMAU, QC. 49.77 -74.53 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
KUUJJUAQ, QC. 58.12 -68.42 Below low 20-29 20-29 50-59
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
KUUJJUARAPIK, QC. 55.28 -77.77 Below low 10-19 30-39 40-49
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
MONTREAL MIRABEL, QC. 45.67 -74.03 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
MONT JOLI, QC. 48.60 -68.22 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
MONTREAL DORVAL, QC. 45.47 -73.75 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Below low 20-29 20-29 40-49
NATASHQUAN, QC. 50.18 -61.80 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Normal 46 20-29 20-29 40-49
QUEBEC, QC. 46.80 -71.38 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Below 45 20-29 20-29 50-59
ROBERVAL, QC. 48.52 -72.27 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
ST HUBERT, QC. 45.52 -73.42 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
SCHEFFERVILLE, QC. 54.80 -66.80 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
SEPT-ILES, QC. 50.22 -66.20 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SHERBROOKE, QC. 45.43 -71.68 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
VAL D OR, QC. 48.05 -77.78 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
BROADVIEW, SK. 50.38 -102.68 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
ESTEVAN, SK. 49.22 -102.97 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
LA RONGE, SK. 55.15 -105.27 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
MOOSE JAW, SK. 50.33 -105.57 Above low 30-39 40-49 20-29
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
NORTH BATTLEFORD, SK. 52.77 -108.25 Above 53 40-49 40-49 10-19
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
PRINCE ALBERT, SK. 53.22 -105.67 Normal 51 30-39 40-49 10-19
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
REGINA, SK. 50.43 -104.67 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SASKATOON, SK. 52.17 -106.72 Above low 30-39 40-49 10-19
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
URANIUM CITY, SK. 59.57 -108.48 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
YORKTON, SK. 51.27 -102.47 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
SHINGLE POINT, YT. 68.93 -137.23 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29