Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of precipitation for February-March-April 2018 issued on May 1st 2017
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Above low 60-69 10-19 20-29
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Normal 49 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Normal 49 40-49 30-39 20-29
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Normal 47 40-49 40-49 10-19
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Normal 49 30-39 30-39 20-29
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Normal 48 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Normal 49 40-49 30-39 20-29
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Normal 49 40-49 30-39 20-29
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Normal 47 40-49 40-49 10-19
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Normal 48 40-49 30-39 20-29
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Normal 49 40-49 30-39 20-29
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Normal low 10-19 40-49 30-39
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Normal low 10-19 40-49 30-39
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 10-19 40-49 40-49
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 10-19 40-49 40-49
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 40-49 10-19 30-39
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 40-49 10-19 40-49
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 40-49 10-19 30-39
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 40-49 10-19 40-49
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Normal low 40-49 10-19 30-39
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Normal low 40-49 10-19 30-39
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal low 50-59 20-29 20-29
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29