Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of precipitation for January-February-March 2017 issued on April 1st 2016
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal low 10-19 50-59 20-29
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Below low 10-19 40-49 40-49
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Above low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Below low 20-29 20-29 50-59
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Below low 10-19 20-29 60-69
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Above 50 30-39 40-49 10-19
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Above low 40-49 40-49 0-9
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Above 46 60-69 30-39 0-9
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Below low 0-9 40-49 40-49
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Normal 48 20-29 20-29 50-59
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Above 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Normal low 10-19 20-29 50-59
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Normal low 10-19 30-39 40-49
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Below low 10-19 20-29 60-69
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Normal low 40-49 10-19 30-39
TIMMINS, ON. 48.57 -81.38 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Below low 0-9 40-49 40-49
TORONTO, ON. 43.67 -79.60 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
TRENTON, ON. 44.12 -77.53 Above 48 50-59 30-39 10-19
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Normal 46 20-29 30-39 40-49
WIARTON, ON. 44.75 -81.10 Above 57 50-59 30-39 10-19
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Normal low 20-29 50-59 20-29
WINDSOR, ON. 42.27 -82.97 Above 56 40-49 30-39 10-19
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 20-29 20-29 50-59
CHARLOTTETOWN, PE. 46.28 -63.13 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
BAGOTVILLE, QC. 48.33 -71.00 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
BAIE COMEAU, QC. 49.13 -68.20 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
CHIBOUGAMAU, QC. 49.77 -74.53 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Normal low 40-49 10-19 30-39
KUUJJUAQ, QC. 58.12 -68.42 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
KUUJJUARAPIK, QC. 55.28 -77.77 Above low 30-39 40-49 10-19
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
MONTREAL MIRABEL, QC. 45.67 -74.03 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Normal low 10-19 50-59 20-29
MONT JOLI, QC. 48.60 -68.22 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Normal low 10-19 40-49 30-39
MONTREAL DORVAL, QC. 45.47 -73.75 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
NATASHQUAN, QC. 50.18 -61.80 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 40-49 10-19 30-39
QUEBEC, QC. 46.80 -71.38 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal 47 30-39 20-29 40-49
ROBERVAL, QC. 48.52 -72.27 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
ST HUBERT, QC. 45.52 -73.42 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
SEPT-ILES, QC. 50.22 -66.20 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
SHERBROOKE, QC. 45.43 -71.68 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Normal 49 30-39 30-39 20-29
VAL D OR, QC. 48.05 -77.78 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
BROADVIEW, SK. 50.38 -102.68 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Normal 49 30-39 30-39 30-39
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
LA RONGE, SK. 55.15 -105.27 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
NORTH BATTLEFORD, SK. 52.77 -108.25 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
PRINCE ALBERT, SK. 53.22 -105.67 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
REGINA, SK. 50.43 -104.67 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above 46 40-49 30-39 10-19
SASKATOON, SK. 52.17 -106.72 Normal low 30-39 10-19 40-49
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
URANIUM CITY, SK. 59.57 -108.48 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
YORKTON, SK. 51.27 -102.47 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
SHINGLE POINT, YT. 68.93 -137.23 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
TESLIN, YT. 60.17 -132.75 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
WATSON LAKE, YT. 60.12 -128.82 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
WHITEHORSE, YT. 60.72 -135.07 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above low 30-39 30-39 30-39
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal low 10-19 50-59 20-29
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39