Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

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Hurricanes and Climate Change

Hurricanes and Climate Change, is there a link?

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of precipitation for June-July-August 2018 issued on September 1st 2017
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Normal low 10-19 40-49 30-39
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Below low 10-19 10-19 60-69
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Below low 0-9 30-39 50-59
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Below low 10-19 10-19 60-69
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Below low 20-29 20-29 50-59
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Normal low 30-39 10-19 40-49
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Below low 20-29 20-29 50-59
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Normal low 30-39 10-19 50-59
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Below low 10-19 20-29 60-69
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Below low 10-19 20-29 60-69
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Below low 10-19 20-29 60-69
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Below low 20-29 10-19 60-69
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Below low 20-29 20-29 50-59
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Normal low 20-29 10-19 50-59
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Normal low 20-29 10-19 60-69
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal low 20-29 10-19 50-59
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Below low 10-19 20-29 60-69
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Below low 10-19 30-39 40-49
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Below low 10-19 40-49 40-49
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Normal low 10-19 40-49 40-49
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Below low 10-19 30-39 40-49
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Normal low 10-19 30-39 50-59
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Below low 20-29 30-39 40-49
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
TIMMINS, ON. 48.57 -81.38 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Below low 20-29 20-29 50-59
TORONTO, ON. 43.67 -79.60 Normal low 20-29 40-49 20-29
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Normal low 10-19 40-49 40-49
TRENTON, ON. 44.12 -77.53 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
WIARTON, ON. 44.75 -81.10 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Above 46 60-69 20-29 10-19
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
CHARLOTTETOWN, PE. 46.28 -63.13 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
BAGOTVILLE, QC. 48.33 -71.00 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
BAIE COMEAU, QC. 49.13 -68.20 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CHIBOUGAMAU, QC. 49.77 -74.53 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
KUUJJUAQ, QC. 58.12 -68.42 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
KUUJJUARAPIK, QC. 55.28 -77.77 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Below low 10-19 10-19 60-69
MONTREAL MIRABEL, QC. 45.67 -74.03 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Below low 0-9 30-39 50-59
MONT JOLI, QC. 48.60 -68.22 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
MONTREAL DORVAL, QC. 45.47 -73.75 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Below low 10-19 10-19 60-69
NATASHQUAN, QC. 50.18 -61.80 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
QUEBEC, QC. 46.80 -71.38 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
ROBERVAL, QC. 48.52 -72.27 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
ST HUBERT, QC. 45.52 -73.42 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
SCHEFFERVILLE, QC. 54.80 -66.80 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
SEPT-ILES, QC. 50.22 -66.20 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Below low 10-19 30-39 50-59
SHERBROOKE, QC. 45.43 -71.68 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Below low 20-29 20-29 50-59
VAL D OR, QC. 48.05 -77.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Normal low 30-39 10-19 40-49
BROADVIEW, SK. 50.38 -102.68 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Normal low 30-39 10-19 50-59
ESTEVAN, SK. 49.22 -102.97 Below low 10-19 20-29 50-59
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Below low 10-19 20-29 60-69
LA RONGE, SK. 55.15 -105.27 Normal low 20-29 20-29 50-59