Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of precipitation for April-May-June 2017 issued on July 1st 2016
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Normal 55 30-39 20-29 40-49
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Normal 48 20-29 20-29 40-49
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Normal 46 20-29 20-29 40-49
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Normal low 20-29 20-29 50-59
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal 45 30-39 30-39 30-39
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Normal 50 20-29 20-29 40-49
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Above low 30-39 40-49 20-29
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 20-29 50-59 20-29
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Normal low 10-19 30-39 40-49
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal 45 30-39 40-49 20-29
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Normal 45 30-39 30-39 20-29
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Normal low 20-29 10-19 50-59
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Normal 47 30-39 40-49 10-19
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Above low 30-39 30-39 20-29
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Normal 51 30-39 40-49 10-19
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal 45 30-39 30-39 30-39
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal low 20-29 50-59 20-29
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal 45 30-39 40-49 20-29
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Normal 45 30-39 30-39 20-29
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Normal low 40-49 30-39 10-19
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Normal 47 30-39 40-49 10-19
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Above low 30-39 30-39 20-29
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Normal 51 30-39 40-49 10-19
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Normal 45 30-39 40-49 10-19
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Above low 40-49 20-29 30-39
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
TIMMINS, ON. 48.57 -81.38 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
TORONTO, ON. 43.67 -79.60 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49