Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

What we are doing

Date modified:
Seasonal forecasts of precipitation for September-October-November 2016 issued on September 1st 2016
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast
Skill
(%)
Prob.
above
(%)
Prob.
normal
(%)
Prob.
below
(%)
BROADVIEW, SK. 50.38 -102.68 Above 49 50-59 30-39 10-19
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
ESTEVAN, SK. 49.22 -102.97 Above 50 40-49 30-39 10-19
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
LA RONGE, SK. 55.15 -105.27 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
MOOSE JAW, SK. 50.33 -105.57 Above 59 50-59 20-29 20-29
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Above low 60-69 20-29 0-9
NORTH BATTLEFORD, SK. 52.77 -108.25 Above 45 40-49 20-29 20-29
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
PRINCE ALBERT, SK. 53.22 -105.67 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
REGINA, SK. 50.43 -104.67 Above 54 50-59 30-39 10-19
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
SASKATOON, SK. 52.17 -106.72 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
URANIUM CITY, SK. 59.57 -108.48 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
YORKTON, SK. 51.27 -102.47 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
SHINGLE POINT, YT. 68.93 -137.23 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
TESLIN, YT. 60.17 -132.75 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
WATSON LAKE, YT. 60.12 -128.82 Normal low 40-49 10-19 30-39
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
WHITEHORSE, YT. 60.72 -135.07 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Above low 70-79 10-19 0-9
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Above low 50-59 40-49 0-9
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal low 20-29 30-39 30-39
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Normal low 10-19 40-49 40-49
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Normal low 10-19 50-59 20-29
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Normal low 40-49 40-49 10-19
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Normal low 10-19 50-59 20-29
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Above low 60-69 20-29 10-19
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Above low 40-49 30-39 20-29
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal 47 20-29 30-39 40-49
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Normal low 30-39 40-49 10-19
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Normal 56 40-49 20-29 30-39
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Above 48 70-79 20-29 0-9
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Above low 80-89 10-19 0-9
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Normal low 40-49 20-29 20-29
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Above low 40-49 20-29 20-29
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Above 47 60-69 10-19 10-19
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Above low 50-59 10-19 20-29
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Above low 60-69 10-19 10-19
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Above low 50-59 30-39 0-9
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Above low 50-59 20-29 10-19
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Normal low 10-19 40-49 40-49
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Normal low 10-19 40-49 30-39
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Normal low 20-29 30-39 40-49
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Normal low 40-49 10-19 40-49
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Normal low 10-19 40-49 30-39
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
TIMMINS, ON. 48.57 -81.38 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Normal low 10-19 40-49 30-39
TORONTO, ON. 43.67 -79.60 Normal low 10-19 40-49 30-39
TRENTON, ON. 44.12 -77.53 Normal low 10-19 40-49 30-39
WIARTON, ON. 44.75 -81.10 Normal low 10-19 40-49 40-49
WINDSOR, ON. 42.27 -82.97 Normal low 10-19 30-39 50-59
CHARLOTTETOWN, PE. 46.28 -63.13 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
BAGOTVILLE, QC. 48.33 -71.00 Normal low 30-39 20-29 30-39
BAIE COMEAU, QC. 49.13 -68.20 Normal low 30-39 30-39 20-29
CHIBOUGAMAU, QC. 49.77 -74.53 Above low 50-59 20-29 20-29
KUUJJUAQ, QC. 58.12 -68.42 Normal 45 30-39 30-39 20-29
KUUJJUARAPIK, QC. 55.28 -77.77 Normal low 40-49 30-39 20-29
MONTREAL MIRABEL, QC. 45.67 -74.03 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
MONT JOLI, QC. 48.60 -68.22 Normal low 30-39 30-39 30-39
MONTREAL DORVAL, QC. 45.47 -73.75 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
NATASHQUAN, QC. 50.18 -61.80 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
QUEBEC, QC. 46.80 -71.38 Normal low 30-39 20-29 40-49
ROBERVAL, QC. 48.52 -72.27 Normal low 40-49 20-29 30-39
ST HUBERT, QC. 45.52 -73.42 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
SCHEFFERVILLE, QC. 54.80 -66.80 Above 49 40-49 30-39 20-29
SEPT-ILES, QC. 50.22 -66.20 Above low 40-49 30-39 10-19
SHERBROOKE, QC. 45.43 -71.68 Normal low 20-29 20-29 40-49
VAL D OR, QC. 48.05 -77.78 Normal low 30-39 40-49 20-29
BROADVIEW, SK. 50.38 -102.68 Above 49 50-59 30-39 10-19
ESTEVAN, SK. 49.22 -102.97 Above 50 40-49 30-39 10-19